Stormchasers.co.uk
SPC Day 2 Outlook Text Only
Click Here for Graphic
Forecast DiscussionSPC AC 030600 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0100 AM CDT FRI SEP 03 2010 VALID 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL PIVOT EASTWARD OVER ONTARIO/QUEBEC AND THE ADJACENT GREAT LAKES REGION ON SATURDAY...WHILE AN ADDITIONAL UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES FROM THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST TO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION BY LATE SATURDAY. THE PRESENCE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND COOL/DRIER CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL KEEP MOST CONUS LOCALES THUNDER-FREE. SOME TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES VICINITY...WITH TSTMS /SOME STRONG TO PERHAPS SEVERE/ ALSO INCREASING ACROSS MUCH OF MT SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. ...MT... AHEAD OF THE DIGGING PACIFIC NORTHWEST UPPER TROUGH...INFLUENCE OF UPPER JET LEFT EXIT REGION...AND MODEST MOISTURE IN VICINITY OF A SURFACE TROUGH/EASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT...SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT...INITIALLY ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST MT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WHILE LIMITED MOISTURE AVAILABILITY SHOULD TEMPER THE OVERALL SEVERE RISK...00Z NAM/GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS REFLECT A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER...WITH WEAK CAPE /UP TO 500 J PER KG SBCAPE/ AND GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING FLOW NEAR/ABOVE THE TOP OF THE FORECAST MIXED LAYER. THIS SCENARIO SHOULD YIELD SOME TSTMS CAPABLE OF STRONG DOWNDRAFTS/GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS SMALL HAIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. ..GUYER.. 09/03/2010 CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z