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SPC Day 2 Outlook Text Only

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Forecast Discussion

   SPC AC 030600
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0100 AM CDT FRI SEP 03 2010
   
   VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL PIVOT EASTWARD OVER ONTARIO/QUEBEC AND THE
   ADJACENT GREAT LAKES REGION ON SATURDAY...WHILE AN ADDITIONAL UPPER
   TROUGH AMPLIFIES FROM THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST TO THE PACIFIC
   NORTHWEST/NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION BY LATE SATURDAY. THE
   PRESENCE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND COOL/DRIER CONTINENTAL
   TRAJECTORIES IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL KEEP MOST CONUS
   LOCALES THUNDER-FREE. SOME TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FL
   PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES VICINITY...WITH TSTMS /SOME STRONG TO
   PERHAPS SEVERE/ ALSO INCREASING ACROSS MUCH OF MT SATURDAY
   AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.
   
   ...MT...
   AHEAD OF THE DIGGING PACIFIC NORTHWEST UPPER TROUGH...INFLUENCE OF
   UPPER JET LEFT EXIT REGION...AND MODEST MOISTURE IN VICINITY OF A
   SURFACE TROUGH/EASTWARD ADVANCING COLD FRONT...SHOULD SUPPORT
   ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSTM DEVELOPMENT...INITIALLY ACROSS MUCH OF
   CENTRAL/SOUTHWEST MT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WHILE LIMITED MOISTURE
   AVAILABILITY SHOULD TEMPER THE OVERALL SEVERE RISK...00Z NAM/GFS
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS REFLECT A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER...WITH WEAK
   CAPE /UP TO 500 J PER KG SBCAPE/ AND GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING FLOW
   NEAR/ABOVE THE TOP OF THE FORECAST MIXED LAYER. THIS SCENARIO SHOULD
   YIELD SOME TSTMS CAPABLE OF STRONG DOWNDRAFTS/GUSTY WINDS AND
   PERHAPS SMALL HAIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.
   
   ..GUYER.. 09/03/2010
   
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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z