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SPC Day 1 Outlook Text Only

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   SPC AC 031951
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0151 PM CST WED DEC 03 2008
   
   VALID 032000Z - 041200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ....ARKLATEX INTO UPR TX/SWRN LA CST...
   19Z CDFNT FROM SE MO-NW AR-SE OK-TX HILL COUNTRY WILL CONTINUE TO
   MOVE QUICKLY SEWD TOWARD THE LWR MS VLY TONIGHT.  AHEAD OF THE
   FRONT...MODIFIED GULFMEX MOISTURE CONTINUES TO ADVECT NWD...MARKED
   BY THE INCREASE IN SHALLOW STREAMER SHOWERS OVER THE UPR TX CST. 
   AFTN CONVECTION SHOULD BE CAPPED BY A WARM NOSE JUST ABOVE H85.
   
   POS-TILT UPR IMPULSE DIGGING SEWD OVER THE TX HIPLNS WILL TRANSLATE
   TO E TX BY MID-EVENING...WITH STRONG UVV ACCOMPANYING THE CDFNT AS
   IT MOVES THROUGH THE ARKLATEX AND UPR TX CSTL REGION.  RAPIDLY
   COOLING CONDITIONS ALOFT AND THE ENHANCED MESOSCALE ASCENT SHOULD
   INITIATE DEEPER CONVECTION/TSTMS AFT 22-23Z FROM SW AR/NW LA INTO E
   TX /MUCAPES 500-750 J PER KG/.  UPDRAFTS WILL LIKELY BECOME QUICKLY
   UNDERCUT BY THE SURGING CDFNT WITH LOWER PROBABILITIES FOR
   PRE-FRONTAL SFC-BASED STORMS.  EFFECTIVE SHEAR AOA 45 KTS AND
   STEEPENING LAPSE RATES ALOFT MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLD LRG HAIL. 
   STORMS THAT DEVELOP ON THE FRONTAL INTERFACE MAY GIVE A LOCAL DMGG
   WIND GUST AS WELL.
   
   ISOLD SVR THREATS SHOULD WANE OVERNIGHT AS THE EVOLVING LINE OF
   STORMS BEGINS TO OUTRUN THE STRONGER INSTABILITY AXIS.
   
   ..RACY.. 12/03/2008
   
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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z